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2024-12-14 05:29:19

Friends who have been paying attention to Junge know that Junge mentioned in his article last Friday that the key force driving the market to break through that day was the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF, which was the exclusive market entry channel for the national team. It can be seen that the national team entered the stadium ahead of schedule on the eve of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party.It can be said that after yesterday's close, most investors are pessimistic about today's market. Because new investors will associate it with the sharp opening and closing on October 8th, while old investors will be scared by the trend of peripheral China assets last night, and then they will have pessimistic expectations for today's market. However, what everyone didn't expect was that the performance of the whole market was fairly stable today. The market stood firm on the fifth line all day and remained slightly red. Although it was smashed green twice in the session, it was pulled up in an instant, giving people a feeling that they can't fall if they want to fall!The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.


Combined with today's disk, consumer themes generally performed well, with retail, duty-free shops, community group buying, prepared vegetables and food processing leading the way. In the top ten sectors of the increase list, it accounts for half of the country! The previous robots and artificial intelligence have significantly increased their differentiation today. Fortunately, these two old hot trends have not wavered, otherwise it will have a greater impact on market sentiment.According to the analysis of Jun Ge [A-share news] this morning, there were only seven stocks with a net purchase of more than 10 million in the main institutional seats yesterday, and three of them came from the same sector, that is, prepared dishes! Prefabricated dishes are a relatively flexible subdivision direction in the theme of big consumption. Under normal circumstances, the main institutions rarely switch positions to the theme of big consumption, because the growth of the theme of big consumption is generally not high, which belongs to a typical defensive theme. Yesterday, the main institutions suddenly increased their positions to prepare vegetables, which needs our great attention.In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.


What does this mean? To put it simply, when the market opened sharply higher yesterday, the main institutions were unwilling to chase after it, so the decrease in buying was very obvious. However, the selling of institutional seats was basically the same as that on Monday. This shows that the main institutions did not deliberately borrow good shipments yesterday. In terms of hot money, it was still a net inflow yesterday.Of course, some fans and friends have raised questions about this. Brother Jun noticed that in the comment area of yesterday afternoon's article, some fans and friends thought that yesterday's heavy volume was high and low, obviously there were funds fleeing. Since the funds are fleeing, no matter how the background changes, the market will probably fall in the short term!In this regard, Jun Ge wants to remind everyone that there are many kinds of market funds, including the national team, main funds and ordinary retail investors. Among these three categories, they are also divided into several sub-categories. For example, the funds with the background of Chinese characters include Huijin, insurance, social security and pension. The main funds are more, which can be divided into public offering, private placement, hot money, trust, brokerage self-operated, foreign-funded institutions and so on; Even retail investors should be divided into large households and ordinary retail investors.

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